Jump to content


AF Member
  • Posts

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won


efaardvark last won the day on April 7

efaardvark had the most liked content!


  • Favourite Anime
    Lots. Off the top of my head (and in no particular order)...

    Ghost in the Shell
    プラネテス (ΠΛΑΝΗΤΕΣ)
    Any "real" science fiction actually
    Angel Beats!
    Clannad: After Story
    Your Lie In April
    Pet Girl of Sakurasou
    Spice and Wolf
    FLCL (original)
    Any Miyazaki/Ghibli
  • Favourite Genres
    Slice of Life
    Space Opera
  • Favourite Character Type


  • Image
  • This is my


  • Location
    Someplace between Santa Monica and Sedna.
  • Occupation
    Data systems engineer
  • Interests
    reading (SF), electronics, science, engineering, space, computer programming.. and of course anime.
  • Gender

Video Games

  • Favorite Video Game/Series
    Kerbal Space Program. Anything that you can craft or build in actually... Minecraft, Valheim, Cities: Skyline, Stardew Valley, Terraria, etc.....
  • Favorite Video Game Characters
    GLaDOS, Duke Nukem, Jebediah Kerman
  • Favorite Game Consoles
    PC Master Race - May our frame rates be high and our temperatures low.

Recent Profile Visitors

130,706 profile views

efaardvark's Achievements


Mentor (12/14)

  • Well Followed Rare
  • Reacting Well Rare
  • Dedicated Rare
  • Conversation Starter Rare
  • Very Popular Rare

Recent Badges



Single Status Update

See all updates by efaardvark

  1. Getting close now to the first Starship orbital test.  April 17th is the latest guesstimate.  Waiting for government clearance and official maritime & aviation notices to go out, maybe as early as tomorrow/Monday, for the date to solidify but from what SpaceX has been saying they're as ready as they'll ever be for this launch.  FAA bureaucrazy is all that they're waiting on now.

    Elon Musk said, "Success is one possible outcome."  Not sure what SpaceX considers success on this one however.  Elon said that if it doesn't blow up and take the launch ring with it he'll consider that a success.  You never know for sure but engineering-wise enough real-world testing of engines and systems has been done so far to pretty much assure it'll meet Elon's definition.

    There's still a couple other key points of concern however in my mind.  I'd like to see it at least survive past "max-q", or that portion of the ascent where the vehicle has gone supersonic and aerodynamic forces on the vehicle are the most intense.  That's pretty straightforward to model, especially given modern computing methods.  SpaceX has a lot of data from their Falcon 9 on that as well so I'd be kind of surprised if that turns out to be the point of failure.

    On the other hand the reentry scenario is one of those areas that is dynamic, extreme, and very hard to model on a computer.  If something is going to break I'd expect that would be where/when.  But even in that case I'm sure they'll get some good data for the next try.

    Recovering the booster with the "chopsticks" is another area of concern, though NOT for this first flight.  That's another big question mark in my head that'll need to be proven out at some later date but it won't be part of this first orbital test.  Sounds like they'll instead try to "land" the booster upright in the ocean off the coast.  I'd like to see that happen as well.  I'd imagine that chances are good there, again because of SpaceX's Falcon 9 history.  Apart from size the physics is very similar and the landing zone is the Gulf of Mexico, not some tiny droneship.  :) (Not sure if they plan a recovery operation.  I suspect not since Starbase is already pretty full of parked space vehicles, including the next booster.)

    Regardless how it all turns out I'm sure it'll be interesting.  That much at least is guaranteed.



  • Create New...