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The History Kid

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Posts posted by The History Kid

  1. @Wedgy - I'm guessing you're like...Overkill in hours for work.  We've been missing you. :[


    Unrelated - 

    Well, I may have saved myself an unpleasant time at the range this weekend (if I decide to go).

    Most of you remember this gal:



    The other gun that I had purchased before this one came with two loaded magazines.  I only ever really used one, so I pretty much had the magazine in the drawer and never thought much of it.  Tonight after our chat party, I decided to clean all three guns, and the magazines - check the springs in them too.  I decided to get the other magazine out too, since it definitely needed cleaning and the ammo needed to be checked.  Glad I did.




    I would not have enjoyed gambling with that little sucker.  If I had to guess, I'd say a dog got ahold of this one (sure as hell wasn't mine!).  I've seen plenty of ammo in my time, and I haven't seen many casings chapped up like that.  Yikes!  That one is going to the bucket on amnesty day.  In related news...ammo is dirt cheap right now, and so are accessories.  Too bad the accessories available for the 1911's make them look gimmicky and bulky.

  2. 19 minutes ago, cowboy said:

    cornfields for miles and miles, and boy youre gonna be sorry if you try walking down one of thoes. its just corn, corn, corn. 

    That is an Iowan's heaven, and we live there.  That's why we always laugh when we hear of people getting "lost" in the corn mazes.  You should always emerge with a bunch of bruises too from getting smacked with ears and husks.

    • Funny 2

  3. 3 minutes ago, Illusion of Terra said:

    many approaches use data from MERS-CoV (virus that caused mers) or SARS-CoV-2 (virus that caused sars), depending on what exactly is investigated.

    concerning the disease and spread, the spanish flu/1918 flu pandemic seems to be something taken as a comparison, especially concerning how and when governments responded.

    You would use MERS or SARS as the analog for it pathologically.  Contextually and socially you would use The Spanish Flu (or MERS if in the Middle East, SARS in Asia).  A single analog rarely works for all the circumstances.  In a chronological sense, COVID-19 fits with the "centurial" outbreaks.

    • Agree 1

  4. 5 hours ago, IIVIsouljam said:

    Sounds interesting. :) I've been seeing a lot of specialists from various occupational backgrounds give their opinions on the disease but they're usually website sections and periodicals.

    While it impacts many fields, the problem is generally that these "specialists" only represent a single point within the overarching field.  They're also being used to cite for or against public health officials, which is absolutely ridiculous.  It's important to look at it from a historical perspective to understand how industries and fields are impacted, but when they attempt to act as an authoritative figure, it becomes damaging.


    I was wondering what the historical process of events like this was like. Professionally, that it. Especially after coming across a documented timeline of the 1918 flu pandemic.

    Historians had been signaling that an disease pandemic was likely within 15 years as early as 2009 simply based upon the previous centuries worth of data.  The 1918 Spanish Flu is the analog most western experts are using for COVID-19.  Most eastern researchers are using MERS.  The advantage we have with the 1918 Flu is that the data is complete, whereas the MERS pandemic is incomplete due to its relatively recent emergence.  

    That being said, most military historians - myself included - argue that the Spanish Flu was and will continue to be a more impactful event than COVID-19.  At least if COVID-19 remains on it's current trend.  The reason behind this is largely found in World War I, advancement in medicinal research, advancement in communication, technological advancement, and other socioeconomic factors.  Notwithstanding is if we begin to see force buildup in certain regions - Iran is currently the one that most of us are looking at, with North Korea not far behind.  COVID-19's outlook could turn identical to or worse than the 1918 Flu in an instant, however it doesn't exhibit signs of that happening any time soon.


    The archival must be a network of collaborating experts!

    Ehhhh...yes and no.  Archivists are archivists.  Historians are broad and diverse.  However, those historians are limited by one key thing that supersedes their specific niche: access.  If you don't have access, you have no research.


    Wish you well on the summary if your workplace decides on one. 

    Oh, we already have a Hot Tasker and an OPORD for a historical summary.  We will likely need to write two.  The first one will need to be on our command, since our command is spearheading almost all of the relief efforts for supplies and materiel.  The second will likely be an installation and regional history - which is where I'm stalking this thread for information that would be beneficial in compiling that.  Thus, a recount in Indiana from one of our members has my attention.

  5. Tribun

    The epic tale of a really annoyed single Karen who has three daughters she's homeschooling through the virus pandemic of 2026 that turns people into Gilbert Gotfried impersonators.  She's here to talk to all of the managers with her triple bun of justice - being the only Karen to not have that cliche looking tapered cut.

  6. 20 hours ago, leinwandname said:

    What's unprecedented is the spike of using the work unprecedented 😆:

    Everyone wants to be a journalist these days.  Or be listened to as an expert - when really they're experts in the spread of misinformation (whether purposefully or not).  Still...I hadn't considered that - it is amusing to see.


    (I wonder what happened in Jan '17...)

    Guarantee you that was all Decision 2016 stuff.  That's all I'll say, so as to not go political.


    Not that that, using imposing words, is anything new; I remember reading about the siege of Magdeburg during the 30 years war and the subsequent sacking at the hands of the imperial army and the protestant newspapers (apparently the 30 years was saw in increased use of the printing press for propaganda purposes) tried to reframe as the most attrocious act in christian history and unprecedented horrors. (I think they used the german expression "noch nie dagewesen", literally "never before existed/happened". I'll try to find the archive with the newspapers. Was an awesome website where pretty much any German newspaper thy could find was saved and freely accessible. Even one from the reformation.) I'm pretty sure that, while the sacking was aweful even by 17th century standards, similar attrocities have happened before. For example, Siege of Ostend, Jerusalem or Baghdad. (although the siege of Magdeburg did change the demography to an extend that the earlier number of inhabitants hadn't been reached until the 19th century. In 1631 it had 35 000 citizens, in 1639 only 500 [yes, hundred])

    I would argue that as well, considering that the Crusades persecuted a number of individuals that would have been identified as Protestant Christians.  But, that's another thing.  The point here is that, yes, you are right - there is a history of this kind of thing.  What makes it worse now though, I think, is that people have more widespread access to those incorrect statements and inherently will take that information and run with it.  There's so much bad information running around on COVID-19 I'm honestly flabbergasted.  I haven't seen this much fop-ah since Hurricane Katrina - maybe even 9/11.  We're really only hurting ourselves here at this point.


    @cowboy - I'm sorry to hear how things have been for you.  I read your blog post as well.  I might be in touch with you about a few things down the road.

    • Like 2

  7. 9 hours ago, leinwandname said:

    Perhaps they mean "Unprecedented in out life time"

    That statement invalidates the definition of unprecedented to begin with though.  "Never seen in our lives" is a factual statement, yes.  Again, I think people are having fun with words without considering what they actually mean.

    Our NBC affiliated station just put up a page that has the U.S. maps in iFrames - these are from Johns Hopkins.

    Otherwise, I encourage people to use the tracker provided by the WHO:

  8. It has really been an experience seeing people depict current events with the language they're using.  I've seen more people try and use writing akin to those of writers who throw a thesaurus at everything lately.  Yet, it astounds me that so few actually understand what the words mean, or why they're using them.  It's also been startling to see how little research is going into comments that people are making.  You would think that in the situation of a global pandemic, people would do more research on the thing that's impacting their way of life.

    "Unprecedented" my foot - and no, no one in this thread used that word.  That was a vent.  Go eat an Oreo. :)

    Anyway, it sounds to me like the worst is yet to come for this whole situation.  By that, I don't necessarily mean many more people getting sick - I mean more people who are sick getting worse, and bigger strains on the healthcare system (not just in the U.S. either).  The next couple of weeks will be very telling.  Iowa's progression has been interesting.  We've gone from 9 or so on 17 March to 424 as of 30 March.

    • Like 1

  9. 1 hour ago, RuthisianCodex said:

    Various job sectors:

    Due to the classifications of 'essential' & 'non-essential' workers, I would expect that once this settles down a bit there will be more people seeking employment in fields like I.T., healthcare, finance, & trucking. This won't happen immediately because at first people are just going to need to get back to work period to stabilize themselves financially but gradually I foresee a major uptick in people seeking degrees or certificates in these areas due to a desire for better job security. 

    I also think more employers who are not already doing so, will look into implementing permanent work from home options, or expanding & improving options that may already exist. 

    I doubt it / hope not.  What should happen is businesses should be examining insurance policies to prepare themselves for situations like this.  The market is already too saturated with people with degrees and certifications.  People need to be taking up trades, not degrees.  We have plenty of the latter - too many in fact.  Too many people with useless degrees too.

    As for work from home, I doubt that too.  It requires a massive amount of infrastructure improvement that is beyond company control by and large.  In addition, workflow for most industry suffers rather than excels during telework and communication.


    Socioeconomic attitude:

    All over the world there seems to be this pervasive attitude that people who work in grocery stores, gas stations, or drive trucks for a living are less important than people who work in higher paying or higher skilled positions. The truth of the matter is that without these workers we'd all be screwed because food, medicine, fuel, & other necessities would vanish quickly & utter chaos would break out. I hope that because of the situation we now find ourselves in as a global community that this type of negative attitude towards people in these fields changes for the better. I'm very curious to see what happens with this.

    I'd hope so.  But I also know that those industries also have a lot of (this isn't the right word, I don't think, but it's all I can think of) entitled individuals.  People who believe they should be paid well above their own paygrade, and aren't afraid to mouth off about it.  That being said, the self-righteousness of the "customer base" being toned down would hopefully curb that.  I don't know for sure.  When I was in retail, that's what I was most whiny about in relation to pay.  Getting spit on for minimum wage.  Remove the spit, I may not have been so crabby.


    Economy as a whole:

    Even after businesses re-open, I think there's going to be a shift in spending trends for quite some time. In speaking with several of my colleagues, many of us will be making setting more money aside in emergency savings a top priority. It's easy to tell people to have 3 to 6 months worth of living expenses saved up but that is a real challenge for most people here in the US, especially those who live below the poverty line. What impact will all this have on people's everyday spending trends? Will this really encourage people to save more money & if they do, what impact will this have on local businesses?

    This is politically loaded, unfortunately - but I will say this:

    Too few people think about small business on the day-to-day.  When it comes to legislation, economy relief, insurance, benefits, pay, etc, no one is thinking about those smaller businesses.  Ever.  Historically speaking, we are likely at the beginning of a five to ten year drop in economic hardship.  That's important for a number of reasons, particularly those that I've talked about in previous posts.  Economic downturns have strong correlation to an increase in military activities and wars.  Keep your eyes on Iran.

  10. 48 minutes ago, Lelouch said:

    What are thoughts on final fantasy 7 remake if anyone plays rpg games here  let us know your thoughts 

    It looks pretty enough, but I'm not totally sold on the episodic nature.  Ordinarily I wouldn't be opposed, but because I know how Square Enix works...I'll just wait on it.  The explanation of controls was a bit off the cuff too, I wasn't too thrilled with that.  I dunno, the demo didn't match the hype that I had heard and seen on it.

  11. 2 minutes ago, Nyxnine said:

    Awe, I'm glad there is help there, but also, that would be frustrating getting a delayed diagnoses. Are the health systems really bogged down right now?? Or just in places like New York?

    I was writing that because at least here the last thing you have to worry about is a hospital bill if sick.

    It depends on your location.  New York is absolutely bogged down, but other places are very light.  

    The big problem with U.S. healthcare is price hikes for medication and how policies are written for hospital stays.  However, again, the majority of healthcare providers and insurance companies currently have a modified policy on COVID-19.  I don't know the specifics, but I know for example in my family (from those who are unemployed to those who have the best coverage) all of them will never see a bill over $100 for COVID-19 related healthcare expenses.

    • Like 2

  12. Just now, Nyxnine said:

    I was thinking about people who don't have health care and will go into debt just from being sick needing a hospital. Isn't it like that in the states?

    Not entirely.  But you aren't totally off point either.  Most people who don't have health coverage don't have it for a number of personal reasons.  Medicaid coverage is relatively universal and the requirements for it are relatively low.  The exemption occurs in the case of felonies and false reporting.  In the case of COVID-19, all state plans cover it.  The problem is getting the diagnosis.

    • Informative 1

  13. 3 minutes ago, leinwandname said:

    If small ME countries, those that might not have the healthcare system to appropriately deal with the situation or are in a state of conflict, are hit with Corona how would local power respond to project their power, in your opinion? Already authoritarian states might probably use the situation to enforce even stricter control. Perhaps invest more in digital tracking?

    Iran has been force projecting since Q1 FY20.  They ramped that up at the beginning of the year and have been sustaining even through the COVID-19 pandemic.  How they respond otherwise is new, since the analog for the Middle East would be MERS, not the Spanish Flu - and the data from the MERS pandemic is still incomplete.

    Syria is still in a civil war (although now after the deal between Russia and Turkey considerably less than in Dec. - Feb.), how could Turkey, Israel, Iran (which has been hit by corona), use the situation for their advantage? I mean, they themself have to prepare for the case of them being hit by the virus, so I guess giving away resources for public support in Syria is probably not an option...

    All of those nations have been impacted by COVID-19.  Defense industries operate at a totally different level than the rest of the world.  I have always taught on the premise that the Defense sect of any nation generally stands relatively independent from the nation itself.  That is, most of them have their own supply chains, their own medical system, their own accountability, and their own means of execution in a crisis that is totally independent of the rest of the nation they serve.  You may have noticed that the issues with IS have not subsided, war persists in Afghanistan, and Iran is continuing to ramp up rhetoric against coalition forces in the Middle East.  The same is true in North Korea, where it is all but certain that COVID-19 is present, but the use of nuclear-related missile testing persists.

    How did, for example, the Spanish Flu influence politics and power projections (although I guess WW1 and it's aftermath might make that a bit hard to discern...)

    To be clear, the Spanish Flu impacted World War I and the inter-war period in massive ways.  The first onset of the flu was recorded in Kansas after forces cycled out from the Punitive Expedition.  At that time, the emphasis was on a readiness posture in the United States - and therefore news about the flu was limited.  By the time the U.S. enters the war, it was effectively dealing with a "contained pandemic" within the Army.  Once that unit deployed, the Spanish Flu swept through Europe, and then returned home when soldiers returned to the states.  Businesses were shuttered down, stay at home orders were put into place, and a weakening economy was made weaker as a result.  The result of this was no power projection due to limitations on finances in the public sector - where most defense originated then (unlike today where it's public, but carries an independent fund across the board).  Then shortly after the 1930s and the passing of the flu, certain European nations started to see opportunities to exert themselves to a weakened continent. 

    • Like 1

  14. One of the things that is being asked of the research community for those of us not in the scientific field is examination of analogs.  A lot of us in the History profession were already starting to sound alarms that something was amiss in 2018 - that there was substantial evidence to support economic fallout and potential medical emergencies that were on the near horizon.

    So now, here we are in 2020.  By and large I think that in the current affairs selection of options - most governments are responding about average to these issues.  I don't think any "had the number" for anything that's happening though - although, I pose that they could have gotten closer to it if they had paid attention.  The next thing to keep an eye out for is downcycling, mobilization, or reformation of force projection by a nation.  Iran and North Korea would be where I'd probably be paying the most attention (in that order).  We have the roadmap for this current situation, but it is fascinating that so few people are actually reading it.

    • Like 1

  15. I keep going back to the My Sherona (My Corona) parody when hearing about it, but I figured the direct approach to titles was better for this. haha.  But yes, that's generally the point.  Online communities are pretty much the thing that's holding most of the younger generations together right now (and even some of the older, though they're less apprehensive about phone calls).

    On the job front, it really is an interesting time.  There's generally a supply surge in job demand, but few willing to take up the risk with everything that's going on.  I'm lucky enough to be right in the comfort slot for most of this finance wise.  I did the math today and am still sitting on 370+ hours of leave (keeping in mind I'm emergency essential, so am working from home at regular rate right now), 3 months of pay in savings, and am not encountering any hiccups through DFAS.  Again though, that's luck/a blessing.  There's plenty of others that have their hands tied right now, and it's a nightmare.

    • Like 2

  16. I won't beat around the bush here.  We all know by now what is going on.  My intent with creating this thread (I'll admit my own guilt) is to provide one main location for the COVID-19 talk.  We've been bleeding it out into at least two other threads I know of (like I said I'm guilty).  So feel free to post up your thoughts, gripes, observations, opinions, and any other commentary on the matter here.  Keep politics off the table - as usual, the rules still apply.

    Another reason I decided to actually have a thread for this is I may pick out some of the commentary (especially from our North American memberbase) to include in the inevitable historical summary we are going to have to write at work.  If that happens, I'll contact those individuals privately (there was going to be a contest, but I got smacked on the hand by my Chain of Command) - but the main reason remains to centralize the conversation a bit more.

    As always, stay safe, stay well, wash your hands, and if you're sick - stay on your own property.

    • Like 3

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